Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.473821 0.518309 0.566911 0.624277 0.690557 0.765252 0.856539
2024-12-22 0.378667 0.438275 0.509213 0.601330 0.720058 0.871302 1.084423
2024-12-29 0.331237 0.400760 0.489408 0.614274 0.791956 1.046938 1.464906
2025-01-05 0.287299 0.358470 0.453771 0.596332 0.815449 1.162567 1.814881
2025-01-12 0.250428 0.319301 0.414801 0.564131 0.807602 1.225281 2.109046
2025-01-19 0.222554 0.288603 0.382751 0.535343 0.796703 1.277302 2.412961
2025-01-26 0.209958 0.277731 0.377553 0.546553 0.854474 1.474704 3.188602
2025-02-02 0.204244 0.275944 0.385347 0.579726 0.959977 1.815708 4.737482
2025-02-09 0.193290 0.264985 0.377113 0.583339 1.008588 2.052455 6.343906
2025-02-16 0.180463 0.249917 0.360430 0.568742 1.015125 2.185833 7.810757
2025-02-23 0.171701 0.240471 0.352026 0.568251 1.052758 2.429453 10.584749
2025-03-02 0.162236 0.229139 0.339257 0.557306 1.063298 2.598155 13.608413
2025-03-09 0.154693 0.220817 0.331681 0.557321 1.105584 2.924867 20.577372
2025-03-16 0.146175 0.210422 0.319736 0.547226 1.121473 3.181529 30.483725
2025-03-23 0.141911 0.206829 0.319720 0.562652 1.213145 3.864763 72.359530
2025-03-30 0.134256 0.196926 0.307148 0.548560 1.215932 4.142595 132.563088
2025-04-06 0.125607 0.184801 0.289474 0.520688 1.169892 4.123501 185.559874
2025-04-13 0.117962 0.174020 0.273626 0.495314 1.126529 4.096609 268.375698
2025-04-20 0.115069 0.171345 0.273022 0.505428 1.201125 4.914732 6097.844144
2025-04-27 0.114432 0.172572 0.280052 0.535017 1.355458 6.701841 NaN
2025-05-04 0.111097 0.168737 0.276678 0.538251 1.416781 7.934036 NaN
2025-05-11 0.106448 0.162263 0.267481 0.525277 1.410862 8.472427 NaN
2025-05-18 0.103290 0.158355 0.263254 0.524843 1.457052 9.873253 NaN